Conflict and intergroup trade: evidence from the 2014 Russia-Ukraine crisis
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- dc.contributor.author Korovkin, Vasily
- dc.contributor.author Makarin, Alexey
- dc.date.accessioned 2025-07-15T14:52:51Z
- dc.date.available 2025-07-15T14:52:51Z
- dc.date.issued 2023
- dc.date.updated 2025-07-15T14:52:51Z
- dc.description.abstract Does armed conflict reduce trade, even in noncombat areas, through the destruction of intergroup social capital? We analyze Ukrainian trade transactions before and after the 2014 Russia-Ukraine conflict. In a difference-in-differences framework, we find that Ukrainian firms from districts with fewer ethnic Russians experienced a deeper decline in trade with Russia. This decline is economically significant, persistent, and can be explained by erosion of intergroup trust. Affected Ukrainian firms suffered a decrease in performance and diverted trade to other countries. Our results suggest that, through social effects, conflict can be economically damaging even away from combat areas.
- dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
- dc.identifier.citation Korovkin V, Makarin A. Conflict and intergroup trade: evidence from the 2014 Russia-Ukraine crisis. Am Econ Rev. 2023;113(1):34-70. DOI: 10.1257/aer.20191701
- dc.identifier.doi http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/aer.20191701
- dc.identifier.issn 0002-8282
- dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10230/70909
- dc.language.iso eng
- dc.publisher American Economic Association
- dc.relation.ispartof American Economic Review. 2023;113(1):34-70
- dc.rights © American Economic Association. Can be found at http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/aer.20191701
- dc.rights.accessRights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
- dc.subject.other Conflicte d'Ucraïna, 2014---Aspectes econòmics
- dc.title Conflict and intergroup trade: evidence from the 2014 Russia-Ukraine crisis
- dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
- dc.type.version info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion