High resolution assessment of air quality and health in Europe under different climate mitigation scenarios
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- dc.contributor.author Pisoni, Enrico
- dc.contributor.author Zauli-Sajani, Stefano
- dc.contributor.author Belis, Claudio A.
- dc.contributor.author Khomenko, Sasha
- dc.contributor.author Thunis, Philippe
- dc.contributor.author Motta, Corrado
- dc.contributor.author Van Dingenen, Rita
- dc.contributor.author Bessagnet, Bertrand
- dc.contributor.author Monforti-Ferrario, Fabio
- dc.contributor.author Maes, Joachim
- dc.contributor.author Feyen, Luc
- dc.date.accessioned 2025-07-31T07:20:40Z
- dc.date.available 2025-07-31T07:20:40Z
- dc.date.issued 2025
- dc.description.abstract Climate change mitigation policies lower greenhouse gas emissions and generally reduce fine particulate matter (PM2.5) concentrations, hereby bringing health co-benefits. Yet, the spatial and distributional air quality co-benefits in Europe of such policies are not fully understood. Here, We quantify premature mortality from air pollution in 1366 regions of Europe for different scenarios obtained from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6. We model PM2.5 concentrations at high spatial resolution and then combine it with population data and regional age structure and total mortality, to calculate attributable deaths. We find that the share of the European population meeting WHO (World Health Organization) guideline value for PM2.5 could exceed 90% by 2100 under the most ambitious scenario, while less than 10% under the least ambitious one. Corresponding premature deaths in Europe would total 67,000 (95% CI: 13,000-141,000) per year by the end of the century compared to 282,000 (95% CI: 202,000-364,000).
- dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
- dc.identifier.citation Pisoni E, Zauli-Sajani S, Belis CA, Khomenko S, Thunis P, Motta C, et al. High resolution assessment of air quality and health in Europe under different climate mitigation scenarios. Nat Commun. 2025 Jun 3;16(1):5134. DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-60449-2
- dc.identifier.doi http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-60449-2
- dc.identifier.issn 2041-1723
- dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10230/71046
- dc.language.iso eng
- dc.publisher Nature Research
- dc.relation.ispartof Nat Commun. 2025 Jun 3;16(1):5134
- dc.rights © The Author(s) 2025. Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License, which permits any non-commercial use, sharing, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if you modified the licensed material. You do not have permission under this licence to share adapted material derived from this article or parts of it. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.
- dc.rights.accessRights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
- dc.rights.uri http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
- dc.subject.keyword Environmental impact
- dc.subject.keyword Risk factors
- dc.title High resolution assessment of air quality and health in Europe under different climate mitigation scenarios
- dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
- dc.type.version info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion