Brexit and territorial preferences: evidence from Scotland and Northern Ireland
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- dc.contributor.author Daniels, Lesley-Ann
- dc.contributor.author Kuo, Alexander
- dc.date.accessioned 2021-11-17T08:27:05Z
- dc.date.available 2021-11-17T08:27:05Z
- dc.date.issued 2021
- dc.description Supplemental material file: supporting information “Brexit and Territorial Preferences in the UK”
- dc.description.abstract Has the UK referendum to leave the EU (Brexit) affected territorial preferences within the UK? We draw on comparative theories of such preferences to address this question, as Brexit can be seen as a shock to a political unit. We test hypotheses in two key regions, Scotland and Northern Ireland, with original surveys fielded at a unique time (September 2019). We randomize making salient different Brexit scenarios and measure support for Scottish independence and unification with Ireland within each region. We find in Scotland the prospect of leaving the EU increases support for independence. This effect is pronounced among those who support the UK remaining in the EU. In Northern Ireland, religious background correlates highly with territorial views, and we find little evidence of Brexit or border-scenario effects. Our results contribute to the literature on decentralization processes and the EU, and provide evidence of when negative shocks affect such preferences.
- dc.description.sponsorship This work was supported by the Institut d’Estudis de l’Autogovern (Institute of Self-Government Studies) [2017-IEA5-00014] and the AXA Research Fund [2016-SOC-PDOC to L.A.D]. We thank Laia Balcells, Jose Fernandez-Albertos, Sofía Pérez, and audiences at the American Political Science Association (APSA) and University Association for Contemporary European Studies conferences (2020) for helpful commentary and feedback on earlier versions of the article. We also thank three anonymous referees and the editor for their comments. We thank Laia Balcells and Georgetown University for additional financial support (Competitive Grant-in-Aid for “Sovereignty Conflicts in Western Europe”). We thank Sergi Martinez and Fernando Hortal for research assistance. Human-subjects approval was granted by University of Oxford (CUREC 1 A) R64046/RE001.
- dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
- dc.identifier.citation Daniels LA, Kuo A. Brexit and territorial preferences: evidence from Scotland and Northern Ireland. Publius: The Journal of Federalism. 2021 Spring;51(2):186-211. DOI: 10.1093/publius/pjab004
- dc.identifier.doi http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/publius/pjab004
- dc.identifier.issn 0048-5950
- dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10230/49002
- dc.language.iso eng
- dc.publisher Oxford University Press
- dc.relation.ispartof Publius: The Journal of Federalism. 2021 Spring;51(2):186-211
- dc.rights © The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of CSF Associates: Publius, Inc. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted reuse, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
- dc.rights.accessRights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
- dc.rights.uri http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- dc.subject.other Referèndum -- Gran Bretanya
- dc.subject.other Independència -- Escòcia
- dc.subject.other Independència -- Irlanda del Nord
- dc.title Brexit and territorial preferences: evidence from Scotland and Northern Ireland
- dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
- dc.type.version info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion