Partnership dynamics and the fertility gap between Sweden and Spain

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• dc.contributor.author Nishikido, Momoko
• dc.contributor.author Cui, Qi
• dc.contributor.author Esteve, Albert
• dc.date.accessioned 2023-05-10T06:26:23Z
• dc.date.available 2023-05-10T06:26:23Z
• dc.date.issued 2022
• dc.description.abstract Below-replacement fertility has persisted across European countries for a few decades, though, with variation. Delays in age at first union and first birth have been key factors in the declining fertility levels within these societies. While the vast majority of births occurs within a stable partnership, the link between partnership formation and childbearing is rarely taken into account. In this paper, we examine the role of partnership formation in explaining the gap between Sweden and Spain regarding transitions to first birth. We utilize data from the 2018 Spanish Fertility Survey and the 2012/2013 Swedish Generations and Gender Survey to explore transition probabilities to first birth and implement Kitagawa decomposition and standardization techniques. Results show that having a partner is a strong predictor of becoming a first-time parent in the next 3 years, mainly within the ages 25 to 35. On average, Swedish first-birth transition probabilities for women are only 12% higher than probabilities of Spanish counterparts within this age range, suggesting that the proportion of partnerships formed plays a crucial role in explaining the fertility gap. Decomposition results confirm that before age 30, 74% of the difference in first-order births among women are due to the difference in partnership composition. We further find that earlier union formation in Spain could potentially reduce childlessness levels. Overall, our study highlights the importance of examining the role of partnership dynamics in fertility studies.
• dc.description.sponsorship MN acknowledges support from the FI doctoral scholarship funded by the AGAUR (Agència de Gestió d’Ajuts Universitaris i de Recerca, Catalonia). QC and AE acknowledges support from the GLOBFAM project (RTI2018-096730-B-I00).
• dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
• dc.identifier.citation Nishikido M, Cui Q, Esteve A. Partnership dynamics and the fertility gap between Sweden and Spain. Genus. 2022;78:26. DOI: 10.1186/s41118-022-00170-w
• dc.identifier.doi http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s41118-022-00170-w
• dc.identifier.issn 2035-5556
• dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10230/56761
• dc.language.iso eng
• dc.publisher Springer
• dc.relation.ispartof Genus. 2022;78:26.
• dc.relation.isreferencedby https://ndownloader.figstatic.com/files/36667818
• dc.relation.projectID info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/2PE/RTI2018-096730-B-I00
• dc.rights © The Author(s) 2022. Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http:// creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
• dc.rights.accessRights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
• dc.rights.uri http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
• dc.subject.keyword Below-replacement fertility
• dc.subject.keyword First birth
• dc.subject.keyword Cohort approach
• dc.subject.keyword Partnership formation
• dc.subject.keyword Spain
• dc.subject.keyword Sweden
• dc.title Partnership dynamics and the fertility gap between Sweden and Spain
• dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
• dc.type.version info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion