Health impacts of fine particles under climate change mitigation, air quality control, and demographic change in India
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- dc.contributor.author Dimitrova, Asya, 1988-
- dc.contributor.author Marois, Guillaume
- dc.contributor.author Kiesewetter, Gregor
- dc.contributor.author K.C., Samir
- dc.contributor.author Rafaj, Peter
- dc.contributor.author Tonne, Cathryn
- dc.date.accessioned 2022-05-17T05:55:31Z
- dc.date.available 2022-05-17T05:55:31Z
- dc.date.issued 2021
- dc.description.abstract Despite low per capita emissions, with over a billion population, India is pivotal for climate change mitigation globally, ranking as the third largest emitter of greenhouse gases. We linked a previously published multidimensional population projection with emission projections from an integrated assessment model to quantify the localised (i.e. state-level) health benefits from reduced ambient fine particulate matter in India under global climate change mitigation scenarios in line with the Paris Agreement targets and national scenarios for maximum feasible air quality control. We incorporated assumptions about future demographic, urbanisation and epidemiological trends and accounted for model feedbacks. Our results indicate that compared to a business-as-usual scenario, pursuit of aspirational climate change mitigation targets can avert up to 8.0 million premature deaths and add up to 0.7 years to life expectancy (LE) at birth due to cleaner air by 2050. Combining aggressive climate change mitigation efforts with maximum feasible air quality control can add 1.6 years to LE. Holding demographic change constant, we find that climate change mitigation and air quality control will contribute slightly more to increases in LE in urban areas than in rural areas and in states with lower socio-economic development.
- dc.description.sponsorship We thank the three anonymous reviewers for their valuable feedback. A D acknowledges W Schöpp for providing gridded urban and rural population data. Part of the research was developed in the Young Scientists Summer Program at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg (Austria). The development of the scenarios presented in this work has been supported through a project funded by the European Union's Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme under grant agreement No. 642147 (CD-LINKS) and No 821471 (ENGAGE).
- dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
- dc.identifier.citation Dimitrova A, Marois G, Kiesewetter G, KC S, Rafaj P, Tonne C. Health impacts of fine particles under climate change mitigation, air quality control, and demographic change in India. Environ Res Lett. 2021;16(5):054025. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abe5d5
- dc.identifier.doi http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abe5d5
- dc.identifier.issn 1748-9326
- dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10230/53101
- dc.language.iso eng
- dc.publisher IOP Publishing Ltd.
- dc.relation.ispartof Environ Res Lett. 2021;16(5):054025
- dc.relation.projectID info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/642147
- dc.relation.projectID info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/821471
- dc.rights © 2021 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd. Original content from this work may be used under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license. Any further distribution of this work must maintain attribution to the author(s) and the title of the work, journal citation and DOI.
- dc.rights.accessRights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
- dc.rights.uri http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- dc.title Health impacts of fine particles under climate change mitigation, air quality control, and demographic change in India
- dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
- dc.type.version info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion