The impact of Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine on public perceptions of EU security and defence integration: a big data analysis

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• dc.contributor.author Fernández, Óscar
• dc.contributor.author Vandendriessche, Marie
• dc.contributor.author Saz-Carranza, Angel
• dc.contributor.author Agell, Núria
• dc.contributor.author Franco, Javier
• dc.date.accessioned 2023-05-26T09:15:26Z
• dc.date.available 2023-05-26T09:15:26Z
• dc.date.issued 2023
• dc.description.abstract The 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine sent shockwaves through Europe and led to rapid policy changes concomitant with variations in citizen perceptions. This article analyses how EU public opinion on security and defence matters has reacted to the war: what patterns of change and continuity can be detected, what differences are visible between Member States, and how might those be explained? Our analysis draws on big data-based sentiment analysis of news sources, reflecting a widely recognized connection between media coverage and public opinion – especially during crisis times – and complementing more traditional measurements of citizen perceptions such as opinion polls. Broadly speaking, we find that the invasion has heightened rather than fundamentally altered underlying trends. Our article contributes to a growing literature on the acceptability of European integration in security and defence, showing that publics are generally supportive of it, and regard it as complementary to NATO.
• dc.description.sponsorship This research has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovative programme under grant agreement no. 962533. The Open Access of this article was co-funded by Observatory of European Foreign Policy (SGR 2021 00819).
• dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
• dc.identifier.citation Fernández Ó, Vandendriessche M, Saz-Carranza A, Agell N, Franco J. The impact of Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine on public perceptions of EU security and defence integration: a big data analysis. Journal of European Integration. 2023;45(3):463-85. DOI: 10.1080/07036337.2023.2183392
• dc.identifier.doi http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07036337.2023.2183392
• dc.identifier.issn 0703-6337
• dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10230/56989
• dc.language.iso eng
• dc.publisher Taylor & Francis
• dc.relation.ispartof Journal of European Integration. 2023;45(3):463-85
• dc.relation.projectID info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/962533
• dc.rights © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any med-ium, provided the original work is properly cited, and is not altered, transformed, or built upon in any way. The terms on which this article has been published allow the posting of the Accepted Manuscript in a repository by the author(s) or with their consent.
• dc.rights.accessRights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
• dc.rights.uri http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
• dc.subject.keyword Russia
• dc.subject.keyword Ukraine
• dc.subject.keyword European Union
• dc.subject.keyword CSDP
• dc.subject.keyword Public opinion
• dc.subject.keyword Big data
• dc.title The impact of Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine on public perceptions of EU security and defence integration: a big data analysis
• dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
• dc.type.version info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion