Environmental constraints and diffusion shaped the global transition to food production
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- dc.contributor.author Gregorio de Souza, Jonas
- dc.contributor.author Ruiz-Pérez, Javier
- dc.contributor.author Ruiz-Giralt, Abel
- dc.contributor.author Lancelotti, Carla
- dc.contributor.author Madella, Marco
- dc.date.accessioned 2025-05-16T11:36:56Z
- dc.date.available 2025-05-16T11:36:56Z
- dc.date.issued 2025
- dc.date.updated 2025-05-16T11:36:55Z
- dc.description.abstract The transition from foraging to plant cultivation represents the most important shift in the economic history of early Holocene societies. This process unfolded independently in different regions of the globe, resulting in varied plant assemblages, cultivation strategies, dietary practices, and landscape modifications. To investigate the drivers of this transition, we employed a machine-learning approach. Using Random Survival Forest, we analyze a comprehensive dataset of radiocarbon dates linked to the first adoption of domesticated plants, coupled with environmental predictors. Our findings indicate strong spatial autocorrelation in the timing of agricultural adoption, underscoring the role of diffusion and contact between regions. Region-specific bioclimatic factors emerged as influential: in the Americas, mean temperature and temperature seasonality were critical, while in Southwest Asia and Europe, seasonal variation in precipitation relative to temperature held greater importance. These results suggest that diffusion facilitated the spread of agricultural practices in a process shaped by local environmental conditions, as it was not possible to determine a set of universal drivers. Thus, the emergence of food production was influenced by a combination of local factors and cultural transmission, leaving the specific determinants for each region's first transition an open question for further study.
- dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
- dc.identifier.citation Gregorio de Souza J, Ruiz-Pérez J, Ruiz-Giralt A, Lancelotti C, Madella M. Environmental constraints and diffusion shaped the global transition to food production. Sci Rep. 2025;15:8301. DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-92782-3
- dc.identifier.doi http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-92782-3
- dc.identifier.issn 2045-2322
- dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10230/70425
- dc.language.iso eng
- dc.publisher Nature Research
- dc.relation.ispartof Scientific Reports. 2025;15:8301
- dc.rights © The Author(s) 2025. This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License, which permits any non-commercial use, sharing, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if you modified the licensed material. You do not have permission under this licence to share adapted material derived from this article or parts of it. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article¿s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article¿s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.
- dc.rights.accessRights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
- dc.rights.uri http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
- dc.subject.keyword Agricultural transition
- dc.subject.keyword Plant domestication
- dc.subject.keyword Machine learning
- dc.subject.keyword Survival analysis
- dc.subject.keyword Radiocarbon dating
- dc.title Environmental constraints and diffusion shaped the global transition to food production
- dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
- dc.type.version info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion