Perceptions of peace in times of war: public opinion evidence from Ukraine
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- dc.contributor.author Daniels, Lesley-Ann
- dc.contributor.author Polegkyi, Oleksii
- dc.date.accessioned 2025-03-11T12:23:57Z
- dc.date.available 2025-03-11T12:23:57Z
- dc.date.issued 2025
- dc.description Supplementary materials files: online appendix; replication data.
- dc.description.abstract Peace settlements are often an elite pact, especially in interstate conflicts, yet public support is important for the stability of peace. However, we know little about what peace means to individuals during times of war. Using the salient case of Ukraine, this article explores how citizens define peace using an original survey of 2,100 respondents, fielded in the government-controlled parts of Ukraine in August 2023, during the war. The findings show that at the baseline many people think of peace in positive and personal terms, distinct from the hegemonic view of peace through victory. Drawing on social identity theory, an experimental test shows that priming for both the in-group and the out-group moves people to peace linked to and secured by a military victory. A key driver is the threat from the enemy out-group. The findings show the importance of framing for public perceptions of peace.
- dc.description.sponsorship The authors acknowledge the support of Tetiana Kyselova, Dana Landau, the members of the “Peace Through Victory in Ukraine” special issue workshop, Miriam Bradley, Volodymyr Dubovyk, Iryna Eihelson, Jana Krause, Tetyana Kalenichenko, Andrii Kryshtal, Maksym Panchenko and Tetiana Savchyn. lad acknowledges financial support from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement No. 101027912 — MICROPOLPAX and the Ministry of Science and Innovation, Government of Spain, grant agreement No. PID2020-120465RA-I00— RESPAX.
- dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
- dc.identifier.citation Daniels LA, Polegkyi O. Perceptions of peace in times of war: public opinion evidence from Ukraine. International Negotiation. 2025;30(1):43-71. DOI: 10.1163/15718069-bja10119
- dc.identifier.doi http://dx.doi.org/10.1163/15718069-bja10119
- dc.identifier.issn 1382-340X
- dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10230/69913
- dc.language.iso eng
- dc.publisher Brill Academic Publishers
- dc.relation.ispartof International Negotiation. 2025;30(1):43-71
- dc.relation.isreferencedby http://dx.doi.org/10.7910/DVN/UOMR44
- dc.relation.projectID info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/101027912
- dc.relation.projectID info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/2PE/PID2020-120465RA-I00
- dc.rights © Daniels and Polegkyi, 2025. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the CC BY 4.0 license.
- dc.rights.accessRights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
- dc.rights.uri http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- dc.subject.keyword Peace
- dc.subject.keyword Negotiations
- dc.subject.keyword Territory
- dc.subject.keyword Victory
- dc.subject.keyword Ukraine
- dc.subject.keyword Russian war in Ukraine
- dc.subject.keyword Conflict termination
- dc.title Perceptions of peace in times of war: public opinion evidence from Ukraine
- dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
- dc.type.version info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion