A longitudinal study on the dynamic relationship between affective polarization and radical right’s emergence: the case of VOX in Spain

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• dc.contributor.author Comellas Bonsfills, Josep Maria
• dc.contributor.author Torcal, Mariano
• dc.date.accessioned 2025-07-16T09:29:42Z
• dc.date.available 2025-07-16T09:29:42Z
• dc.date.issued 2025
• dc.description Data de publicació electrònica: 28-05-2025
• dc.description Includes supplementary materials for the online appendix.
• dc.description.abstract Previous evidence highlights significant levels of animosity between supporters of radical right parties and those of other parties, contributing to overall affective polarization. However, there is limited understanding of the dynamics between the electoral emergence of radical right parties and affective polarization. We argue that out-party animosity is not only a potential consequence of radical right parties success but also a driver of their rise. Initially, centre-right partisans exhibiting relatively high levels of hostility towards left-wing voters are more likely to shift their support to an emerging radical right party, accounting for their positions on key issues. Subsequently, the irruption of a radical right party triggers a double defensive reaction among non-radical right party supporters: (a) the rapid development of strong antagonism towards radical right voters; and (b) a de-escalation of mutual hostility between left-wing and centre-right voters. We support these arguments with evidence from a Spanish panel dataset that captures the rise of the radical right party VOX.
• dc.description.sponsorship This work was supported by the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness under the ‘Programa Estatal de Fomento de la Investigación Científica y Técnica de Excelencia’ [project number CSO2016-79772-P]; the European Union-NextGenerationEU, Ministry of Universities and Recovery, Transformation and Resilience Plan, under grant Margarita Salas through a call from Universitat Pompeu Fabra; and the ICREA-ACADEMIA Intense Research Award.
• dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
• dc.identifier.citation Comellas Bonsfills JM, Torcal Loriente M. A longitudinal study on the dynamic relationship between affective polarization and radical right’s emergence: the case of VOX in Spain. Political Studies. 2025 May 28. DOI: 10.1177/00323217251340890
• dc.identifier.issn 0032-3217
• dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10230/70933
• dc.language.iso eng
• dc.publisher SAGE Publications
• dc.relation.ispartof Political Studies. 2025 May 28
• dc.relation.projectID info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/1PE/CSO2016-79772-P
• dc.rights Comellas Bonsfills JM, Torcal Loriente M, A longitudinal study on the dynamic relationship between affective polarization and radical right’s emergence: the case of VOX in Spain, Political Studies (2025 May 28). Copyright © The Author(s) 2025. DOI: 10.1177/00323217251340890.
• dc.rights.accessRights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
• dc.subject.keyword Affective polarization
• dc.subject.keyword Radical right
• dc.subject.keyword VOX
• dc.subject.keyword Spain
• dc.subject.keyword Panel data
• dc.title A longitudinal study on the dynamic relationship between affective polarization and radical right’s emergence: the case of VOX in Spain
• dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
• dc.type.version info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion