Heat-related mortality in Europe during the summer of 2022
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- dc.contributor.author Ballester, Joan
- dc.contributor.author Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos
- dc.contributor.author Méndez Turrubiates, Raúl Fernando
- dc.contributor.author Pegenaute Pérez, Ferran
- dc.contributor.author Herrmann, François R.
- dc.contributor.author Robine, Jean-Marie
- dc.contributor.author Basagaña Flores, Xavier
- dc.contributor.author Tonne, Cathryn
- dc.contributor.author Antó i Boqué, Josep Maria
- dc.contributor.author Achebak, Hicham
- dc.date.accessioned 2023-10-06T06:03:33Z
- dc.date.available 2023-10-06T06:03:33Z
- dc.date.issued 2023
- dc.description.abstract Over 70,000 excess deaths occurred in Europe during the summer of 2003. The resulting societal awareness led to the design and implementation of adaptation strategies to protect at-risk populations. We aimed to quantify heat-related mortality burden during the summer of 2022, the hottest season on record in Europe. We analyzed the Eurostat mortality database, which includes 45,184,044 counts of death from 823 contiguous regions in 35 European countries, representing the whole population of over 543 million people. We estimated 61,672 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 37,643-86,807) heat-related deaths in Europe between 30 May and 4 September 2022. Italy (18,010 deaths; 95% CI = 13,793-22,225), Spain (11,324; 95% CI = 7,908-14,880) and Germany (8,173; 95% CI = 5,374-11,018) had the highest summer heat-related mortality numbers, while Italy (295 deaths per million, 95% CI = 226-364), Greece (280, 95% CI = 201-355), Spain (237, 95% CI = 166-312) and Portugal (211, 95% CI = 162-255) had the highest heat-related mortality rates. Relative to population, we estimated 56% more heat-related deaths in women than men, with higher rates in men aged 0-64 (+41%) and 65-79 (+14%) years, and in women aged 80+ years (+27%). Our results call for a reevaluation and strengthening of existing heat surveillance platforms, prevention plans and long-term adaptation strategies.
- dc.description.sponsorship J.B., M.Q.-Z., R.F.M.T. and F.P. gratefully acknowledge funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 and Horizon Europe research and innovation programs under grant nos. 865564 (European Research Council Consolidator Grant EARLY-ADAPT; https://www.early-adapt.eu/), 101069213 (European Research Council Proof-of-Concept HHS-EWS) and 101123382 (European Research Council Proof-of-Concept FORECAST-AIR). J.B., C.T. and J.M.A. acknowledge funding from the European Union’s Horizon Europe research and innovation program under grant no. 101057131 (Horizon Europe project CATALYSE; https://catalysehorizon.eu/). J.B. and X.B. acknowledge funding from the Ministry of Research and Universities of the Government of Catalonia (no. 2021-SGR-01563). J.B. also acknowledges funding from FORMAS, the Swedish Research Council for Sustainable Development (Cross-Cutting Climate Adaptation—Challenges and Measures Grant ADATES), and from the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation under grant no. RYC2018-025446-I (program Ramón y Cajal). H.A. acknowledges funding from the European Union’s Horizon Europe research and innovation program under grant no. 101065876 (Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions Postdoctoral Fellowship TEMP-MOMO). ISGlobal authors acknowledge support from grant no. CEX2018-000806-S funded by MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033 and support from the Generalitat de Catalunya through the CERCA Program. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish or preparation of the manuscript.
- dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
- dc.identifier.citation Ballester J, Quijal-Zamorano M, Méndez Turrubiates RF, Pegenaute F, Herrmann FR, Robine JM, Basagaña X, Tonne C, Antó JM, Achebak H. Heat-related mortality in Europe during the summer of 2022. Nat Med. 2023 Jul;29(7):1857-66. DOI: 10.1038/s41591-023-02419-z
- dc.identifier.doi http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41591-023-02419-z
- dc.identifier.issn 1078-8956
- dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10230/58052
- dc.language.iso eng
- dc.publisher Nature Research
- dc.relation.ispartof Nat Med. 2023 Jul;29(7):1857-66
- dc.relation.projectID info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/865564
- dc.relation.projectID info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/HE/101069213
- dc.relation.projectID info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/HE/101057131
- dc.relation.projectID info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/HE/101065876
- dc.rights © The Author(s) 2023. Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
- dc.rights.accessRights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
- dc.rights.uri http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- dc.subject.keyword Epidemiology
- dc.subject.keyword Health policy
- dc.title Heat-related mortality in Europe during the summer of 2022
- dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
- dc.type.version info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion