Paranoid styles and innumeracy: implications of a conspiracy mindset on Europeans' misperceptions about immigrants

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• dc.contributor.author Martini, Sergio
• dc.contributor.author Guidi, Mattia
• dc.contributor.author Olmastroni, Francesco
• dc.contributor.author Basile, Linda
• dc.contributor.author Borri, Rossella
• dc.contributor.author Isernia, Pierangelo
• dc.date.accessioned 2023-05-17T05:59:44Z
• dc.date.available 2023-05-17T05:59:44Z
• dc.date.issued 2022
• dc.description.abstract Innumeracy, that is, the inability to deal with numbers and provide correct estimates about political issues, is reported to be widespread among the public. Yet, despite the recognition that a conspiracy mindset is an increasingly common phenomenon in Western democracies, this has not been considered as a potential correlate of innumeracy. Using data from an online sample of respondents across 10 European countries, we show that those with a higher propensity to hold a conspiracy worldview tend to overestimate the actual share of the immigrant population living in their own country. This association holds true when accounting for country heterogeneity and other cognitive, affective and socio-demographic factors. Employing a comparative design and refined measurements, the article contributes to our understanding of how a conspiracy mentality may influence perceptions of relevant political facts, questioning basic processes of democratic accountability.
• dc.description.sponsorship This research received financial support from the project ‘Bridging the gap between public opinion and European leadership: Engaging a dialogue on the future path of Europe EUENGAGE’ (H2020-EURO-2014-2015/H2020-EURO-SOCIETY-2014, Grant no. 649281) funded by the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme.
• dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
• dc.identifier.citation Martini S, Guidi M, Olmastroni F, Basile L, Borri R, Isernia P. Paranoid styles and innumeracy: implications of a conspiracy mindset on Europeans' misperceptions about immigrants. Ital Polit Sci Rev. 2022;52(1):66-82. DOI: 10.1017/ipo.2021.26
• dc.identifier.doi http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/ipo.2021.26
• dc.identifier.issn 0048-8402
• dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10230/56857
• dc.language.iso eng
• dc.publisher Cambridge University Press
• dc.relation.ispartof Italian Political Science Review = Rivista Italiana di Scienza Politica. 2022;52(1):66-82.
• dc.relation.isreferencedby http://thedata.harvard.edu/dvn/dv/ipsr-risp
• dc.relation.projectID info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/649281
• dc.rights © Società Italiana di Scienza Politica 2021. This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
• dc.rights.accessRights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
• dc.rights.uri http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
• dc.subject.keyword conspiracy mindset
• dc.subject.keyword conspiracy theories
• dc.subject.keyword Europe
• dc.subject.keyword immigration
• dc.subject.keyword innumeracy
• dc.subject.keyword misperception
• dc.subject.keyword refugee crisis
• dc.title Paranoid styles and innumeracy: implications of a conspiracy mindset on Europeans' misperceptions about immigrants
• dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
• dc.type.version info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion