Macroprudential policy, mortgage cycles and distributional effects : evidence from the UK
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- dc.contributor.author Peydró, José-Luis
- dc.contributor.author Rodríguez Tous, Francesc
- dc.contributor.author Tripathy, Jagdish
- dc.contributor.author Uluc, Arzu
- dc.date.accessioned 2021-02-12T11:22:40Z
- dc.date.available 2021-02-12T11:22:40Z
- dc.date.issued 2020-06
- dc.description.abstract Macroprudential regulators worldwide have introduced regulations to limit household leverage in light of existing evidence which suggests that high leverage is associated with household distress during crisis. We analyse the distributional effects of such a macroprudential policy on mortgage and house price cycles. For identification, we exploit the universe of UK mortgages and a 15%-limit imposed in 2014 on lenders—not households—for high loan-to-income ratio (LTI) mortgages. Despite some regulatory arbitrage (e.g. increases in LTV and average loan size), more-constrained lenders issue fewer high-LTI mortgages. Partial substitution by less-constrained lenders leads to overall credit contraction to low-income borrowers in local-areas more exposed to constrained-lenders, lowering house price growth. Following the Brexit referendum (which led to house-price correction), the 2014-policy strongly implies—via lower pre-correction debt—better house prices and mortgage defaults during an episode of house price correction.ca
- dc.format.mimetype application/pdf*
- dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10230/46465
- dc.language.iso engca
- dc.relation.ispartofseries Barcelona GSE Working Paper;1183
- dc.rights.accessRights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessca
- dc.subject.other Macroprudential policyca
- dc.subject.other Mortgagesca
- dc.subject.other Credit cycles Inequalityca
- dc.subject.other House pricesca
- dc.title Macroprudential policy, mortgage cycles and distributional effects : evidence from the UKca
- dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaperca