Hinterlands, city formation and growth: evidence from the U.S. westward expansion

Mostra el registre complet Registre parcial de l'ítem

• dc.contributor.author Nagy, David Krisztián
• dc.contributor.other Universitat Pompeu Fabra. Departament d'Economia i Empresa
• dc.date.accessioned 2024-11-14T10:09:27Z
• dc.date.available 2024-11-14T10:09:27Z
• dc.date.issued 2020-02-01
• dc.date.modified 2024-11-14T10:07:04Z
• dc.description.abstract I study how geography shaped city formation and aggregate development in the United States prior to the Civil War. To guide my analysis, I first present a conjecture that cities'farm hinterlands fostered both city development and aggregate growth: the hinterland hypothesis. The hinterland hypothesis has rich implications on how various elements of U.S. geography - railroads, changes in U.S. political borders, increasing U.S. population, and international trade - affected city formation and U.S. growth. To quantitatively evaluate the hinterland hypothesis and its implications, I assemble a novel historical dataset on population, trading routes and agricultural productivity at a high spatial resolution, and combine it with a dynamic quantitative model of economic geography. I find evidence for the hinterland hypothesis by showing that the model can quantitatively replicate the key patterns of U.S. urbanization and city formation. Finally, I conduct a series of counterfactuals in the model to quantify the effect of geography on cities and growth, guided by the implications of the hinterland hypothesis. Results indicate that railroads were responsible for 8.2% of urban population in 1860 and for 27% of real GDP growth between 1830 and 1860. The effect of international trade was similar in magnitude, while population growth slowed down urbanization and GDP growth. The effect of political border changes was small during the period.
• dc.format.mimetype application/pdf*
• dc.identifier https://econ-papers.upf.edu/ca/paper.php?id=1717
• dc.identifier.citation Review of Economic Studies (2023) 90, 3238–3281
• dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10230/44679
• dc.language.iso eng
• dc.relation.ispartofseries Economics and Business Working Papers Series; 1717
• dc.rights L'accés als continguts d'aquest document queda condicionat a l'acceptació de les condicions d'ús establertes per la següent llicència Creative Commons
• dc.rights.accessRights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
• dc.rights.uri http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/
• dc.subject.keyword quantitative economic geography
• dc.subject.keyword economic growth and development
• dc.subject.keyword city formation
• dc.subject.keyword transport infrastructure
• dc.subject.keyword Macroeconomics and International Economics
• dc.title Hinterlands, city formation and growth: evidence from the U.S. westward expansion
• dc.title.alternative
• dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaper