The future(s) of global governance: a scenarios exercise
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- dc.contributor.author Saz-Carranza, Angel Jordana, Jacint
- dc.contributor.author Rueda Sabater,
- dc.contributor.author Vandendriessche, Marie
- dc.contributor.author Moreno, Carlota
- dc.contributor.author Jordana, Jacint
- dc.date.accessioned 2024-03-27T12:54:45Z
- dc.date.available 2024-03-27T12:54:45Z
- dc.date.issued 2024
- dc.description.abstract Pervasive uncertainty has stretched the fabric of global governance to its limit. The shape and form of future global governance is far from clear – yet we need to explore how it may play out, so that we can not only prepare for it but also overcome possible pernicious trajectories. Scenario thinking can be used to rigorously explore different possible outcomes. In this article, we present an exercise applying scenario thinking to global governance. These scenarios should help policymakers to understand which policies may or may not work in the diverse possible futures. They may also help policymakers to consider how their organisation, state, or institution could be affected if the global governance of a specific issue evolves in one direction or another. Civil society members or private companies may want to probe how robust their strategies would be in different global governance configurations. The article synthetically presents key contextual premises and uncertainties which are given as follows: four broad scenarios for the world in 2035; four corresponding scenarios for global governance; and scenarios for the global governance of four macro-sectors: trade, security, climate change, and finance.
- dc.description.sponsorship This research has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (grant agreement n∘ 822654).
- dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
- dc.identifier.citation Saz-Carranza A, Rueda-Sabater E, Vandendriessche M, Moreno C, Jordana J. The future(s) of global governance: a scenarios exercise. Glob Policy. 2024;15:149-65. DOI: 10.1111/1758-5899.13295
- dc.identifier.doi http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.13295
- dc.identifier.issn 1758-5880
- dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10230/59595
- dc.language.iso eng
- dc.publisher Wiley
- dc.relation.ispartof Global Policy. 2024;15:149-65.
- dc.relation.projectID info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/822654
- dc.rights This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non-commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made.© 2023 The Authors. Global Policy published by Durham University and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
- dc.rights.accessRights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
- dc.rights.uri https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
- dc.subject.other Política mundial
- dc.title The future(s) of global governance: a scenarios exercise
- dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
- dc.type.version info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion