The big bang: stock market capitalization in the long run

dc.contributor.authorKuvshinov, Dmitry
dc.contributor.authorZimmermann, Kaspar
dc.date.accessioned2022-05-18T09:26:03Z
dc.date.available2022-05-18T09:26:03Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.descriptionSupplemental material file: online appendix
dc.description.abstractWe study trends and drivers of long-run stock market growth in 17 advanced economies. Between 1870 and the 1980s, stock market capitalization grew in line with GDP. But over subsequent decades, an unprecedented expansion saw market cap to GDP ratios triple and remain persistently high. While most historical stock market growth was driven by issuances, this recent expansion was fueled by rising equity prices. We show that the key driver of this structural break was a profit shift towards listed firms, with listed firm profit shares in both GDP and capital income doubling to reach their highest levels in 146 years.
dc.description.sponsorshipThis work was supported by the German Federal Research Ministry (BMBF) grant number 01UF1505.
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.identifier.citationKuvshinov D, Zimmermann K. The big bang: stock market capitalization in the long run. Journal of Financial Economics. 2022 Aug;145(2 Pt B):527-52. DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.09.008
dc.identifier.doihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.09.008
dc.identifier.issn0304-405X
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10230/53136
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Financial Economics. 2022 Aug;145(2 Pt B):527-52
dc.rights© 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
dc.rights.accessRightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
dc.subject.keywordStock market capitalization
dc.subject.keywordEquity issuance
dc.subject.keywordCorporate profits
dc.subject.keywordWealth-to-income ratios
dc.subject.keywordLong-run trends
dc.titleThe big bang: stock market capitalization in the long run
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.type.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion

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