Neither left behind nor superstar: ordinary winners of digitalization at the ballot box

Gallego Dobón, Aina; Kurer, Thomas; Schöll, Nikolas

doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/714920

Neither left behind nor superstar: ordinary winners of digitalization at the ballot box

Citation

Gallego A, Kurer T, Schöll N. Neither left behind nor superstar: ordinary winners of digitalization at the ballot box. The Journal of Politics. 2022 Jan;84(1):418-36. DOI: 10.1086/714920

Abstract

The nascent literature on the political consequences of technological change studies either left-behind voters or successful technology entrepreneurs (“superstars”). However, it neglects the large share of skilled workers who benefit from limited but steady economic improvements in the knowledge economy. This article examines how workplace digitalization affects political preferences among the entire active labor force by combining individual-level panel data from the United Kingdom with industry-level data on information and communication technology capital stocks between 1997 and 2017. We first demonstrate that digitalization was economically beneficial for workers with middle and high levels of education. We then show that growth in digitalization increased support for the Conservative Party, increased support for the incumbent party, and voter turnout among beneficiaries of economic change. Our results hold in an instrumental variable analysis and multiple robustness checks. While digitalization undoubtedly produces losers (along with some superstars), ordinary winners of digitalization are an important stabilizing force that is content with the political status quo.