Mortality burden attributed to anthropogenic warming during Europe’s 2022 record-breaking summer

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  • dc.contributor.author Beck, Thessa M.
  • dc.contributor.author Schumacher, Dominik L.
  • dc.contributor.author Achebak, Hicham
  • dc.contributor.author Vicedo Cabrera, Ana M.
  • dc.contributor.author Seneviratne, Sonia I.
  • dc.contributor.author Ballester, Joan
  • dc.date.accessioned 2025-01-20T06:51:28Z
  • dc.date.available 2025-01-20T06:51:28Z
  • dc.date.issued 2024
  • dc.description.abstract The record-breaking temperatures in Europe during the 2022 summer were associated with over 60,000 heat-related deaths. By combining epidemiological models with detection and attribution techniques, we attribute half of this mortality burden (~56% [95% CI 39–77%]) to anthropogenic warming. Likewise, this applies to all sexes, ages, and heat-related mortality burdens during previous years (2015–2021). Our results urgently call for increasing ambition in adaptation and mitigation.
  • dc.description.sponsorship T.B. gratefully acknowledges funding from the European Union’s Horizon Europe research and innovation program under grant agreement no. 95639 (Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions ITN EDIPI). J.B. gratefully acknowledges funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 and Horizon Europe research and innovation programs under grant agreement no. 865564 (European Research Council Consolidator Grant EARLY-ADAPT, https://www.early-adapt.eu/), 101069213 (European Research Council Proof-of-Concept HHS-EWS, https://forecaster.health/), and 101123382 (European Research Council Proof-of-Concept FORECAST-AIR), and from the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation under grant agreement no. RYC2018-025446-I (program Ramón y Cajal). T.B. and J.B. acknowledge support from the grant CEX2023-0001290-S funded by MCIN/AEI/ https://doi.org/10.13039/501100011033 and support from the Generalitat de Catalunya through the CERCA Program. D.M. and S.I.S acknowledge partial funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program through the XAIDA project under grant agreement no. 101003469. A.V.-C. acknowledges funding from the Swiss National Science Foundation (TMSGI3_211626). H.A. acknowledges funding from the European Union’s Horizon Europe research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 101065876 (MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowship TEMP-MOMO). The funders had no role in study design, data collection, and analysis, the decision to publish, or the preparation of the manuscript.
  • dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
  • dc.identifier.citation Beck TM, Schumacher DL, Achebak H, Vicedo–Cabrera AM, Seneviratne SI, Ballester J. Mortality burden attributed to anthropogenic warming during Europe’s 2022 record-breaking summer. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. 2024;7:245. DOI: 10.1038/s41612-024-00783-2
  • dc.identifier.doi http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00783-2
  • dc.identifier.issn 2397-3722
  • dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10230/69172
  • dc.language.iso eng
  • dc.publisher Nature Research
  • dc.relation.ispartof npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. 2024;7:245
  • dc.relation.projectID info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/865564
  • dc.relation.projectID info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/HE/101069213
  • dc.relation.projectID info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/HE/101123382
  • dc.relation.projectID info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/101003469
  • dc.relation.projectID info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/HE/101065876
  • dc.rights © The Author(s) 2024. Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License, which permits any non-commercial use, sharing, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if you modified the licensed material. You do not have permission under this licence to share adapted material derived from this article or parts of it. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.
  • dc.rights.accessRights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
  • dc.rights.uri http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
  • dc.subject.keyword Attribution
  • dc.subject.keyword Climate-change impacts
  • dc.title Mortality burden attributed to anthropogenic warming during Europe’s 2022 record-breaking summer
  • dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
  • dc.type.version info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion

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