Monetary policy during unbalanced global recoveries

Fornaro, Luca; Romei, Federica

Monetary policy during unbalanced global recoveries

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Citation

Fornaro, L, Romei, F. Monetary policy during unbalanced global recoveries. 2022. handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10230/68626

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Abstract

We study optimal monetary policy during times of exceptionally high global demand for tradable goods, relative to non-tradable ones. The optimal monetary response entails a rise in inflation, which helps rebalance production towards the tradable sector. While the inflation costs are fully bore domestically, however, the gains in terms of higher supply of tradable goods partly spill over to the rest of the world. National central banks may thus fall into a coordination trap, and implement an excessively tight monetary policy causing an unnecessarily sharp global contraction.