The possibility of abrupt transitions threatens to poise ecosystems into irreversibly degraded states. Synthetic biology has recently been proposed to prevent them from crossing tipping points. However, there is little understanding of the impact of such intervention on the resident communities. Can such modification have 'unintended consequences', such as loss of species? Here, we address this problem by using a mathematical model that allows us to simulate this intervention scenario explicitly. ...
The possibility of abrupt transitions threatens to poise ecosystems into irreversibly degraded states. Synthetic biology has recently been proposed to prevent them from crossing tipping points. However, there is little understanding of the impact of such intervention on the resident communities. Can such modification have 'unintended consequences', such as loss of species? Here, we address this problem by using a mathematical model that allows us to simulate this intervention scenario explicitly. We show how the indirect effect of damping the decay of shared resources results in biodiversity increase, and last but not least, the successful incorporation of the synthetic within the ecological network and very small-positive changes in the population size of the resident community. Furthermore, extensions and implications for future restoration and terraformation strategies are discussed.
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