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dc.contributor.author Ciccone, Antonio
dc.contributor.other Universitat Pompeu Fabra. Departament d'Economia i Empresa
dc.date.accessioned 2017-07-26T12:08:01Z
dc.date.available 2017-07-26T12:08:01Z
dc.date.issued 2008-08-01
dc.identifier https://econ-papers.upf.edu/ca/paper.php?id=1127
dc.identifier.citation American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 3 (4), 215-227, 2011
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10230/531
dc.description.abstract Miguel, Satyanath, and Sergenti (2004) argue that lower rainfall levels and negative rainfall shocks increase conflict risk in Sub-Saharan Africa. This conclusion rests on their finding of a negative correlation between conflict in t and rainfall growth between t-1 and t-2. I argue that this finding is driven by a positive correlation between conflict in t and rainfall levels in t-2. If lower rainfall levels or negative rainfall shocks increased conflict, one might have expected MSS s finding to reflect a negative correlation between conflict in t and rainfall levels in t-1. In the latest data, conflict is unrelated to rainfall.
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
dc.language.iso eng
dc.relation.ispartofseries Economics and Business Working Papers Series; 1127
dc.rights L'accés als continguts d'aquest document queda condicionat a l'acceptació de les condicions d'ús establertes per la següent llicència Creative Commons
dc.rights.uri http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/
dc.title Economic shocks and civil conflict: A comment
dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaper
dc.date.modified 2017-07-23T02:12:17Z
dc.subject.keyword transitory shocks
dc.subject.keyword mean reversion
dc.subject.keyword rainfall
dc.subject.keyword civil conflict.
dc.subject.keyword Macroeconomics and International Economics
dc.rights.accessRights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess

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