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Dictators in exile: explaining the destinations of ex-rulers

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dc.contributor.author Krcmaric, Daniel
dc.contributor.author Escribà-Folch, Abel
dc.date.accessioned 2021-06-16T08:23:33Z
dc.date.available 2021-06-16T08:23:33Z
dc.date.issued 2016
dc.identifier.citation Krcmaric D, Escribà-Folch A. Dictators in exile: explaining the destinations of ex-rulers. J Polit. 2016 Jun 21;79(2):560-75. DOI: 10.1086/688225
dc.identifier.issn 0022-3816
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10230/47902
dc.description.abstract Exile has been the second most common fate for dictators who lost office since World War II, yet scholars know little about this phenomenon. In this article, we ask a simple yet previously unanswered question: where do exiled dictators go? We argue that three sets of factors—transnational ties, geographic proximity, and monadic characteristics of potential host states—influence where dictators flee. For evidence, we use original data on exile destinations to construct a directed dyadic data set of all autocratic rulers who fled abroad upon their ouster. We find that dictators are more likely to go into exile in states that are close neighbors, have hosted other dictators in the past, are militarily powerful, and possess colonial links, formal alliances, and economic ties. By contrast, fleeing dictators tend to avoid democratic states and countries experiencing civil conflict. These findings raise broader implications for several outcomes ranging from regime transitions to conflict termination.
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
dc.language.iso eng
dc.publisher University of Chicago Press
dc.relation.ispartof The journal of politics. 2016 Jun 21;79(2):560-75
dc.rights © University of Chicago Press http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/ET/home.html
dc.title Dictators in exile: explaining the destinations of ex-rulers
dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.identifier.doi http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/688225
dc.subject.keyword Dictators
dc.subject.keyword Exile
dc.subject.keyword Post-tenure fate
dc.rights.accessRights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.type.version info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion

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