Browsing by Subject "Business cycles"

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  • Ou, Shengliang (Universitat Pompeu Fabra, 2019-07-15)
    This thesis consists of three chapters on macroeconomic policy and business cy-cles. In chapter 1, I estimate a time-varying structural VAR to study the effects of government spending shocks on a number of U.S. macroeconomic ...
  • Rossi, Barbara, 1971- (2021-07)
    This article provides guidance on how to evaluate and improve the forecasting ability of models in the presence of instabilities, which are widespread in economic time series. Empirically relevant examples include predicting ...
  • Asriyan, Vladimir; Fuchs, William; Green, Brett (American Economic Association, 2019)
    We develop a rational theory of liquidity sentiments in which the market outcome in any given period depends on agents' expectations about market conditions in future periods. Our theory is based on the interaction between ...
  • Schaal, Edouard (Econometric Society, 2017)
    This paper studies the impact of time-varying idiosyncratic risk at the establishmentlevel on unemployment fluctuations over 1972–2009. I build a tractable directed searchmodel with firm dynamics and time-varying idiosyncratic ...
  • Den Haan, Wouter J.; Rendah, Pontus; Riegler, Markus (2015-09)
    The interaction of incomplete markets and sticky nominal wages is shown to magnify business cycles even though these two features – in isolation – dampen them. During recessions, fears of unemployment stir up precautionary ...

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